Recent content by javajnky

  1. J

    COVID Probability

    Well, I think that's the what the efficacy rate is for. That's why it's said to be only 95% effective. In the test group 5% of the vaccinated still got it. At least that's my understanding. So I would assume those 5% can still pass it on. It is 100% effective against death. I don't think...
  2. J

    COVID Probability

    The question came from a debate with a colleague, and from listening to some politicians and "scientists" talking about continuing to require mask wearing even after being fully vaccinated. The governor of CA is saying after June 15th (our current "back to business" date) we will still have...
  3. J

    COVID Probability

    Thanks for the input! And I understand the assumptions are large and basic, and there's a high probability that I have no idea what I'm talking about and will get the terms wrong. My thinking was to first determine the likelihood of running into an infected person, as you did. If I'm...
  4. J

    COVID Probability

    Thanks for taking a minute to check this out. It's been a long time since my college Stats class and I don't have the chops to do this anymore. I need help settling a debate with a friend regarding COVID and the probability of contracting COVID after being fully vaccinate. Not trying to be...