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Thread: Poisson Process

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    Poisson Process



    Hello I really need help with this problem and I have to show my work. We went over the Poisson equation but I can't figure out how to plug everything in to get a %.

    The number of hits to a website follows a Poisson process and occurs at the rate of 10 calls per minute between 7pm and 9 pm. How long should you expect to wait before the probability of at least 1 hit to the site is 95%.

    Thank you in advance for the help.

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    Note the possion process N(t) ~ Possion(10t), where t is the number of minutes we wait
    Therefore Pr{N(t) ≥ 1} > 95%
    ⇒ 1 - Pr{N(t) = 0} > 0.95
    ⇒ e^(-10t) < 0.05
    ⇒ -10t < ln(0.05)
    ⇒ t > -ln(0.05)/10 = 0.29957322735539909934352235761425 minutes
    (or 17.974393641323945960611341456855 seconds)

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