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Thread: Conditional probability of an event that never occurred

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    Conditional probability of an event that never occurred




    Hi folks,

    I'm facing a problem right now...given three events A, B and C, is it possible to estimate the occurrence of events A and C together given that the events A and B, and B and C has already occurred?

    For example, given that A ocurred 3 times, B 8 times, and C 4 times, also A and B ocurred 2 times, B and C 3 times, and A and C never occurred so far (for some reason it had never had the opportunity to happen). What would be the estimate of probability of A and C occurring?

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    Re: Conditional probability of an event that never occurred


    Have you solved it? My inclination is to use a Venn diagram rather than the Reverend's formulas but I haven't worked out the details.

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