+ Reply to Thread
Results 1 to 5 of 5

Thread: Estimate number of urns based on drawn balls

  1. #1
    Points: 1,221, Level: 19
    Level completed: 21%, Points required for next Level: 79

    Posts
    5
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Estimate number of urns based on drawn balls



    Assume there is a number of labeled urns and every urn holds a number of balls (at least one). You know there are n balls in total but you do not know how many urns there are nor how the balls are distributed between them. You can blindly draw a fraction of the balls (lets say 10%) and can see which urn the ball came from. How do you estimate how many urns there are in total?

  2. #2
    TS Contributor
    Points: 15,297, Level: 79
    Level completed: 90%, Points required for next Level: 53

    Posts
    2,375
    Thanks
    8
    Thanked 396 Times in 373 Posts

    Re: Estimate number of urns based on drawn balls

    I think maybe the question lack some assumptions/information.

    If you assume that the balls are equally likely to be distributed in each of the urn,
    then the number of balls in each urn observed is following the multivariate hypergeometric distribution.

  3. #3
    Points: 1,221, Level: 19
    Level completed: 21%, Points required for next Level: 79

    Posts
    5
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Re: Estimate number of urns based on drawn balls

    To maybe bring some intuition to problem, the real life application for this is the following. Assume you have a number of customers, and each customer can make orders (which most likely follows a power law). Now you only see a subset of orders (e.g. 1,000,000 out of 10,000,000 total). Based on the orders you see, you have to estimate how many customers you have in total.

    You might assume that the number of orders per customer follows a power law. But actually I would like to not assume a distribution, but infer it from the sample, and then go from there.

  4. #4
    TS Contributor
    Points: 3,524, Level: 37
    Level completed: 16%, Points required for next Level: 126

    Location
    MD, USA
    Posts
    367
    Thanks
    2
    Thanked 8 Times in 8 Posts

    Re: Estimate number of urns based on drawn balls

    Quote Originally Posted by axs View Post
    you have a number of customers, and each customer can make orders
    What all determines a customer's decision to make one or more orders?

  5. #5
    Points: 1,221, Level: 19
    Level completed: 21%, Points required for next Level: 79

    Posts
    5
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Re: Estimate number of urns based on drawn balls


    Quote Originally Posted by Outlier View Post
    What all determines a customer's decision to make one or more orders?
    Since we're talking real life data, the answer is I don't know. Just that the number of orders per customer follows a power law.

+ Reply to Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts








Advertise on Talk Stats