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Thread: Help! my model isn't predicting any yes outcomes and don't know why

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    Exclamation Help! my model isn't predicting any yes outcomes and don't know why




    I am producing a logistical regression analysis to find a model to predict whether someone has minor mental health problems or not.
    I'm almost certain i've coded all my data correctly but no matter which variable I put into the model it doesn't predict any yes outcomes. my classification table of predicted values is always 0 for yes and I don't know why.
    I would be very grateful if someone could tell me what i'm doing wrong. it's probably something really simple but i just can't work it out.
    Thank you in advance, any help would be much appreciated!
    el89

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    ggplot2orBust
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    Re: Help! my model isn't predicting any yes outcomes and don't know why

    What program are you using?
    "If you torture the data long enough it will eventually confess."
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    Re: Help! my model isn't predicting any yes outcomes and don't know why

    oh yeah sorry. i'm using spss.

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    Re: Help! my model isn't predicting any yes outcomes and don't know why

    Just to make sure... you do have "yes" responses in your data set right? What is the proportion of yes to no?
    I don't have emotions and sometimes that makes me very sad.

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    Re: Help! my model isn't predicting any yes outcomes and don't know why

    yes there's definitely yes responses. there are 739 yes responses and 3630 no responses in my dataset. i've coded yes as 1 and no as 0. that's right isn't it?

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    Re: Help! my model isn't predicting any yes outcomes and don't know why

    Yes that's correct even if that's screwed up you'd just have the inverse odds ratios.
    "If you torture the data long enough it will eventually confess."
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    Re: Help! my model isn't predicting any yes outcomes and don't know why

    yeah thats what i thought. it doesn't work whether i put categorical variables or continuous variables in and i just don't know what else to do :s i really need to get this sorted soon as

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    Re: Help! my model isn't predicting any yes outcomes and don't know why

    i've tried with other dependent variables too and it's still predicting no yeses. is it my fault or is it a problem with SPSS? have i checked a box i wasn't supposed to or something? it says that it is including all the cases in the model

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    Re: Help! my model isn't predicting any yes outcomes and don't know why

    I'm almost certain i've coded all my data correctly but no matter which variable I put into the model it doesn't predict any yes outcomes. my classification table of predicted values is always 0 for yes and I don't know why.
    You have 739 yes responses and 3630 no responses. Now, if you always predicted "no",
    then your rate of correct classifications was 3630/(3630+739) = 83% .

    AFAICS the predictive power of your regression model is so low that simply predicting
    "no" is still superior to it (maybe you have statistically signficant predictors, which would
    not be surprising with such a large sample, but their actual predicitive value is low). Also
    have a look at the classification diagram (under "options").

    Kind regards

    K.

  10. The Following User Says Thank You to Karabiner For This Useful Post:

    el89 (04-20-2012)

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    Re: Help! my model isn't predicting any yes outcomes and don't know why


    ah right. that could be it actually. i'll have to alter my variables then. thank you very much!

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