Need help here on probabilities

[rikari]

Hi,

I'm trying to create a template in excel which will give me the probabilities of winning a tennis match. I've done some research already, and tried using the concept of markov chains. I want to know, are there any other concept in statistics that would give the same results? Something that would require less time and space in creating.

Thanks

[Dason]

How are you trying to model this? What assumptions are you making?