+ Reply to Thread
Results 1 to 2 of 2

Thread: what are the odds of this! please help!

  1. #1
    Points: 3,660, Level: 38
    Level completed: 7%, Points required for next Level: 140

    Posts
    1
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    what are the odds of this! please help!



    Ok, So I play poker, and its been an awfully dry night of cards, at one point it feels so bad I start logging it and see that before I quit, I was dealt 27 pairs of hole cards in a row without both being ten or higher, this just seemd completely impossible. My log goes like this, feel free to skip over:

    2210 > Dealing Hole Cards(Qs Kh ) -> last acceptable hand
    2227 > Dealing Hole Cards(3h Ah )
    2261 > Dealing Hole Cards(9c 4s )
    2285 > Dealing Hole Cards(5h 10d )
    2305 > Dealing Hole Cards(Ad 7d )
    2332 > Dealing Hole Cards(Ac 2d )
    2349 > Dealing Hole Cards(Qs 7h )
    2379 > Dealing Hole Cards(3h 4s )
    2415 > Dealing Hole Cards(3s Kh )
    2451 > Dealing Hole Cards(7d 4d )
    2483 > Dealing Hole Cards(3c Ks )
    2504 > Dealing Hole Cards(7s Kh )
    2537 > Dealing Hole Cards(4d 2s )
    2564 > Dealing Hole Cards(8s Jc )
    2586 > Dealing Hole Cards(2s 10h )
    2613 > Dealing Hole Cards(Jh 8d )
    2649 > Dealing Hole Cards(2c 4h )
    2672 > Dealing Hole Cards(5d 4h )
    2702 > Dealing Hole Cards(9h 4h )
    2733 > Dealing Hole Cards(Qc 2s )
    2759 > Dealing Hole Cards(Ks 3c )
    2790 > Dealing Hole Cards(2d 8c )
    2811 > Dealing Hole Cards(6c 3s )
    2833 > Dealing Hole Cards(6d 7s )
    2854 > Dealing Hole Cards(5s 9s )
    2881 > Dealing Hole Cards(2d 8d )
    2915 > Dealing Hole Cards(6d 7c )
    2950 > Dealing Hole Cards(Qs 4s )

    So I made a list of all the hands (this is all regardless of suite, that doesnt matter here)
    ACCEPTABLE:
    22 33 44 55 66 77 88 99 TT JJ QQ KK AA = 13
    TJ TQ TK TA = 4
    JQ JK JA = 3
    QK AQ = 2
    AK = 1
    total = 23

    unacceptable:
    2T 2J 2Q 2K 2A = 5
    3T 3J 3Q 3K 3A = 5
    4T 4J 4Q 4K 4A = 5
    5T 5J 5Q 5K 5A = 5
    6T 6J 6Q 6K 6A = 5
    7T 7J 7Q 7K 7A = 5
    8T 8J 8Q 8K 8A = 5
    9T 9J 9Q 9K 9A = 5
    23 24 25 26 27 28 29 = 7
    34 35 36 37 38 39 = 6
    45 46 47 48 49 = 5
    56 57 58 59 = 4
    67 68 69 = 3
    78 79 = 2
    89 = 1
    total = 68

    So asuming im correct with everything so far, that should mean a 23/91, 25% probability of getting an acceptable hand.

    And here is where I want some statisticians to help me out. What are the odds of missing those 25% of cards 27 CONSECUTIVE TIMES?

    This is making me crazy, I would guess the odds would be astronomical and this 3piggs poker system is flawed, but I could be wrong?

  2. #2
    Points: 4,533, Level: 42
    Level completed: 92%, Points required for next Level: 17

    Posts
    115
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    There is no way that those are 25% of the hands. Obviously there are more ways to get for example 89 than 88 for example. Doesn't seem unlycky, I have had MUCH longer runs without recieving anything playable, and I play considerably more hands than that, when in position. No reason to suspect flawed software.

+ Reply to Thread

Similar Threads

  1. What are the odds?
    By InIbra in forum Probability
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 12-22-2010, 02:18 AM
  2. Odds question
    By jamesmartinn in forum Probability
    Replies: 2
    Last Post: 02-12-2010, 05:05 PM
  3. Replies: 5
    Last Post: 12-10-2008, 01:44 PM
  4. Equal Odds
    By jessicka24 in forum Biostatistics
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 12-07-2008, 09:20 PM
  5. Odds ratios
    By Susanbwh in forum Biostatistics
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 02-21-2006, 11:41 AM

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts








Advertise on Talk Stats