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Thread: Immortality & Bayesian Statistics

  1. #76
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    Re: Immortality & Bayesian Statistics




    Originally Posted by Giordano
    You realize that Jabba only responds to what appears to be the least critical post, then still ignores the real concern in that post but tries to build a fake consensus around it?




    I don't think there is any question about it.

    Unless I'm mistaken, he strutted like a barnyard rooster in this very thread, claimed victory and offered to take the Million Dollar Challenge because his interlocutors had grown weary of arguing with a brick wall.
    http://www.internationalskeptics.com...postcount=4001
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    Re: Immortality & Bayesian Statistics

    Victor,
    - I really don't know what you mean by this quote.

  4. #78
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    Re: Immortality & Bayesian Statistics

    Jabba,
    - Probably because
    48283. It isn't his quote.
    48284. That's the key!
    You should definitely use jQuery. It's really great and does all things.

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  6. #79
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    Re: Immortality & Bayesian Statistics

    I'm becoming more and more positive that jabba is nothing but a computer program... It is sensitive only to certain patterns, and does not "see" the rest. If it ignores many posts, it is not because it is dodging them, but it can't literally identify and 'see' them since they are not pre-defined in its knowledge-based module.

    Besides, its responses are limited to a list of specific answers and no "creativity" is really evident. It uses few random and irrelevant extra answers to make it look more humane, but they are too few and too irrelevant.

    I congratulate its programmers for passing the Turing test for so long. However, they should work on its "learning module" more, as it appears only to repeating a certain pattern of answers (with few random additions), and does not really "learn".
    "victor is the reviewer from hell" -Jake
    "victor is a machine! a publication machine!" -Vinux

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    Re: Immortality & Bayesian Statistics

    - I'll quit bothering you guys.

  9. #81
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    Re: Immortality & Bayesian Statistics

    Quote Originally Posted by Jabba View Post
    - I'll quit bothering you guys.
    Just FYI - the thing we really want is for you to learn from your mistakes. You still have misconceptions and we've tried to point them out. If you take a step back and actually admit to yourself that maybe you are doing the math wrong and learn from the things we try to tell you then the discussion will be much better. You can't just ask us to look over your material and then ignore us repeatedly when we tell you where there are major issues.
    I don't have emotions and sometimes that makes me very sad.

  10. #82
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    Re: Immortality & Bayesian Statistics


    I know next to nothing about this type of statistics. But a generally held view of statistics, repeated endlessly in methods books, is that one can not prove causality (and thus reality) with any type of statistics. Hume's black swan commentary comes into play, in addition structural breaks (that is changes in reality) and unusual events have to be considered.
    "Very few theories have been abandoned because they were found to be invalid on the basis of empirical evidence...." Spanos, 1995

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