# Thread: Probability of winning a jackpot

1. ## Probability of winning a jackpot

Hi, i'm new here. I was wondering whats the probability of wining a football prediction jackpot with a win draw or loose options in 13 games predicting each of every game correctly

2. ## Re: Probability of winning a jackpot

Originally Posted by cedriclol
Hi, i'm new here. I was wondering whats the probability of wining a football prediction jackpot with a win draw or loose options in 13 games predicting each of every game correctly
Your question makes a lot of assumptions. A game of football isn't a simple chance event, there are a lot of factors that go into determining the winner of a game, both quantifiable and not-quantifiable.

But if we clarify the question a bit, we can approach the answer differently. If you mean predicting the winner of 13 consecutive football matches by guessing alone, and if we also assume that win/lose/draw are equally likely outcomes, then the chance of guessing correctly is

(1/3)^13, or approximately .0000627%

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