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Thread: binary forcasting

  1. #1

    binary forcasting




    Hello
    My data in a binary form a one-hour period for 90 days.
    0=Not happened
    1= happended
    I wanna to forcasting these data ,and i dont know what should i do,
    please help me

  2. #2
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    Re: binary forcasting

    Just measure the percentage p of 1's and for each forecast guess 1 with percentage p.

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    Re: binary forcasting

    Quote Originally Posted by JesperHP View Post
    Just measure the percentage p of 1's and for each forecast guess 1 with percentage p.
    it cant be useful,i want to predict by high probablity when the next 1 happens
    in the follow i attached graph of data
    Attached Images  

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    Re: binary forcasting


    try a logit model with lags of dependent variable as inputs.

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