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Thread: Stats Rookie - Please suggest ideas for my scenario.

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    Stats Rookie - Please suggest ideas for my scenario.




    I want to assign a % to teams ability to win games vs an average opponent. For example, Team A will beat an average team 55% of the time. How do I determine their likelyhood of success if they face a team who will win 53 or 45% of the time?

    Thank you

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    Re: Stats Rookie - Please suggest ideas for my scenario.

    Look at Elo rating, eg like this.

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    Re: Stats Rookie - Please suggest ideas for my scenario.

    Quote Originally Posted by GretaGarbo View Post
    Look at Elo rating, eg like this.
    Thank you very much. I find this very interesting! Looking forward to learning more about it.

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    Re: Stats Rookie - Please suggest ideas for my scenario.


    Quote Originally Posted by Patrick567 View Post
    Thank you very much. I find this very interesting! Looking forward to learning more about it.
    After some time reading up on Elo I don't believe I am qualified enough to set something like this up. Is there anything else someone can suggest for predicting the below scenario.

    TEAM A wins 57% of the time vs average competition.
    TEAM B wins 53% of the time vs average competition.
    TEAM C wins 45% of the time vs average competition.


    There has to be a simple formula that would recommend the likely of success when TEAM A plays B and when TEAM A plays B.

    Obviously Team A should win <57% of the time vs B and >57% of the time vs C but how much more?

    Thank you for your input!

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