Bayes' Theory

#1
Hi i'm currently working on a horse race prediction project and trying to include bayes' theory in my project. The thoery is new to me I am trying to mould the equation so I can fit in the horse probability of winning a race i.e 1/10 if their are ten horses given that the horses rating (gained from adding together its speed rating and jockey rating etc) is higher than the other horses. I am just stuggling to try and mould bayes theory to fit this into it.
Any help on how this could potentially work would be greatly apprciated!

Thanks
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#2
Why not to read some books about it.
It's too much about Bayes.
First, you need pre-prediction-probability,then mix the real data to adjust your
prediction probability(post-prediction-probability).