Interpreting parameter estimates (ERGM)

Hi anyone could help me with the following?

How do I calculate and interpret departure from non-randomness or likelihood of such configuration occurring using Exponential Random Graph Model with dependence graph construction if I have the following information:

- exponential probability function
- quantitative data on the observed network
- parameter estimates (estimated using Monte Carlo Markov Chain estimation technique)
- standard error

The article basically shows only the parameter estimates table but makes conclusions on the likelihood of those configurations occurring. How do I calculate this probability so that I can follow the argument the article makes?
Thank you


New Member
Hey KristinaMac.

Without knowing much about the domain of your problem, can you state the arguments behind the probability (likelihood) function and some context for these arguments?