# Observed and expected

#### Susanbwh

##### New Member
It may be a very silly question, but I have trouble conceptualizing these two terms. I had this contingency table with 2 rows and colums. Is expected value always 50%? I remember otherwise in dice or coin game. Could you kindly explain chi-square (I know you discussed this elsewhere, but) addressing this expected values? Thank you.

#### JohnM

##### TS Contributor
The expected values are the ones we would expect if the two variables are independent*. If the departure from the expectancy is "large enough," the chi-square statistic will be significant.

* Independent means that the probability of one variable occurring or taking on a particular value is not affected by the row or column of the other variable.

#### Susanbwh

##### New Member
So, if there is no association between the two variables in a contingency table, the observed % in a row should be the same as % in a column, am I right??? Not necessarily 50%. I have trouble with understanding why observed % has anything to do with expected %. Thank you.