I need some help. I'm looking for how to calculate the odds\probability of a person winning in a poker club based on events that have already happened and the games left.
Attached is the current standings. The winner of the club is determined by the lowest overall points. Points are recorded by the place the player went out during that months tournament. (Busted out in 14 place gets you 14 point, down to 1 point first place)
I'm looking for a formula to post on my website that calculates the probability that a person will win. Again lowest points wins the seat in the WSOP main event.
July August September October November December January February March April May June
Dan 2 3 2 5 3 1 3 5
Jeff 4 5 6 4 2 3 6 12
JB 6 11 3 7 6 5 2 4
Jeremy 8 2 13 3 4 4 5 11
Nate 9 4 1 1 7 10 11 9
Mark 3 9 11 8 1 9 9 10
Barry 11 6 5 10 10 8 8 3
Tom 7 14 4 11 5 13 1 7
Hart 1 12 8 2 13 6 13 8
Rob 10 1 14 9 8 2 12 13
Ian 5 10 12 14 12 7 10 2
Doug 14 13 9 13 9 14 4 1
Tyler 12 7 10 6 11 12 14 6
Chad 13 8 7 12 14 11 7 14
Attached is the current standings. The winner of the club is determined by the lowest overall points. Points are recorded by the place the player went out during that months tournament. (Busted out in 14 place gets you 14 point, down to 1 point first place)
I'm looking for a formula to post on my website that calculates the probability that a person will win. Again lowest points wins the seat in the WSOP main event.
July August September October November December January February March April May June
Dan 2 3 2 5 3 1 3 5
Jeff 4 5 6 4 2 3 6 12
JB 6 11 3 7 6 5 2 4
Jeremy 8 2 13 3 4 4 5 11
Nate 9 4 1 1 7 10 11 9
Mark 3 9 11 8 1 9 9 10
Barry 11 6 5 10 10 8 8 3
Tom 7 14 4 11 5 13 1 7
Hart 1 12 8 2 13 6 13 8
Rob 10 1 14 9 8 2 12 13
Ian 5 10 12 14 12 7 10 2
Doug 14 13 9 13 9 14 4 1
Tyler 12 7 10 6 11 12 14 6
Chad 13 8 7 12 14 11 7 14