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    trying to find the probability of a certain price in the oil market being touched within a time frame

    Thank you for your reply. Yes, I am aware that logistic is a regression concept and not a time series concept. I was going to use the logistic regression model to calculate the probability of a reversal at support/resistance lines since I was having trouble trying to find the probability of the...
  2. P

    trying to find the probability of a certain price in the oil market being touched within a time frame

    I have built a model that predicts closing prices of the oil market. My goal is to make a model that can help find the probability of reaching a certain price within a certain time frame but I am lost. For example, if oil is at 60.00 a barrel, I would like to know how to find the probability of...