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    Model Cross-Validation Issue: Comparing models w/ and w/o error

    Hi folks: I'm trying to apply cross-validation of models (e.g. the paper "On Cross-Validation of Bayesian Models" by Alqallaf and Gustafson) in the context of count data and have run into an interesting problem. My understanding of how such cross-validation should work is that one draws...
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    Bayesian model checking: a problem with Gelman's chi-squared test

    So, I foolishly tried to implement a test Gelman and his colleagues propose to determine whether observed data actually fits a model (Bayesian Data Analysis, Edition 1, p.172; or better: Gelman, Meng, Stern, 1996). If the test worked as advertised, it would be really useful--an omnibus way to...