Whats the probability that an Archaeologist finds a particular artifact.

#1
Archaeologist has a project area 56 acres in size. Somewhere in the project area is a buried stone artifact 69cm×38cm×38cm ovular stone. An archaeologist will dig a 1 meter x 1 meter test unit randomly in the 56 acres. What are the chances that a single test unit will find the stone artifact?
 
#4
There is only one exactly like the one found. For this problem we can assume there is one and only one artifact in the entire 56 acre project.
 

katxt

Active Member
#5
The stone can be entirely in 1 square or partly in 2, 3 or even 4 squares. If we assume an average of 2 squares then the probability of finding it first go is about 2 in 560 000.
 
#6
The stone can be entirely in 1 square or partly in 2, 3 or even 4 squares. If we assume an average of 2 squares then the probability of finding it first go is about 2 in 560 000.
Thank you. So not miraculous just very fortuitous. Appreciate your response.